‏إظهار الرسائل ذات التسميات Minister. إظهار كافة الرسائل
‏إظهار الرسائل ذات التسميات Minister. إظهار كافة الرسائل

Thailand has suspended Prime Minister Prayut Chan O-cha. What happens next?

The unusual leadership reshuffle follows a ruling by the Constitutional Court of Thailand on Wednesday, which ordered Prayut to stand aside while it considers if he breached the eight-year term limit recently written into the constitution.

Prayut took the role of prime minister after a military coup in 2014 before winning a controversial general election in 2019.
In the meantime, he ordered the kingdom's constitution to be re-written, banning the prime minister from serving more than eight years in office. But the question now is whether Prayut has breached his own limit. Earlier this week the court accepted a petition signed by 172 opposition lawmakers that claims Prayut's rule started in 2014, when he took power in the coup. The court will also likely consider if his term officially began in 2017, when the constitution was rewritten, or even 2019, after the election.
Five out of nine constitutional court judges agreed on Wednesday that Prayut should be suspended while the court considers the matter, but didn't provide a timeline for the ruling. The court gave Prayut 15 days to submit a counter statement as to why he should keep the job, once he formally receives the court paper. In a statement, Prayut's office said he respects the court's decision. The order "will not affect the administration of the nation, work carried out by civil servants or the government's ongoing policies," the statement said.

Who is in charge now?

Deputy Prime Minister Prawit Wongsuwan will step in acting as prime minister while the court mulls its final verdict, government spokesman Anucha Burapachaisri told reporters on Wednesday. Prawit himself is former army chief and a longtime supporter of the Thai monarchy. Fresh elections are due by May next year under the constitution, but the sitting prime minister still has the power to call early elections by dissolving the elected House of Representatives. Prayut has survived four no-confidence votes in the past months, and looked set to cling on to power until the elections, said Thitinan Pongsudhirak, a professor at Chulalongkorn University in Bangkok.

Thailand's Prime Minister has survived another no-confidence vote

But critics say it is time for him to go. "There have been some economic mismanagement, politics is still polarized, since over the past eight years since he's been prime minister -- or since he's been called as the prime minister -- Thailand has not done well," Thitinan said.

While youth-led protests seem to have died down as of late, he said this was because some of the movement's leaders had been prosecuted and grievances over the Prayut's government remain.

Why is Prayut unpopular?

Prayut's rule as a military coup leader turned prime minister has been marred with growing authoritarianism and widening inequality.

The former military chief came to power in a bloodless coup in 2014 that overthrew Yingluck Shinawatra's scandal-laden government following six months of civil unrest and violent street protests.
But shortly after taking over, Prayut banned all political campaigning including political gatherings of more than five people. During his leadership, hundreds of activists have been arrested and charged under draconian laws such as sedition or the lese majeste -- which prohibits criticism of the royal family.
In 2020, young people across the country defied threats from the military-backed government to take to the streets and call for Prayut's resignation. The mass protests stemmed from failed promises to restore democracy, and what activists say is a repression of civil rights and freedoms.
The military government's mismanagement in handling of the coronavirus pandemic and economy, nepotism and lack of transparency and accountability, also amplified calls for Prayut to step down.
Thailand's monarchy was long considered God-like. But protesters say it's time for change

Dissatisfaction over the military government and the kingdom's monarchy continued well into 2021.

King Maha Vajiralongkorn, who assumed the throne in 2016 and was crowned in May 2019, is believed to spend much of his time overseas and has been largely absent from public life in Thailand as the country grappled with the coronavirus pandemic.

Since becoming King, billions of dollars worth of assets held by the Thai Crown have been transferred to Vajiralongkorn, asserting his control of royal finances and vastly increasing his personal wealth, which drew ire among the public who are required to revere the monarchy.

CNN's Helen Regan contributed reporting.
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Africa: South Africa's Defense Minister in Russia for Security Conference

Cape Town — South Africa's Defense Minister Thandi Modise has arrived in Russia for a Moscow-hosted conference on international security. The visit comes amid Russia's ongoing invasion of Ukraine and as Russian forces there are occupying Europe's largest nuclear power plant. It also comes just days after U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken visited South Africa in part to try to win more African support against Russia's invasion.

Despite South Africa repeatedly proclaiming its neutrality in the Russia/Ukraine war, several analysts say Modise's attendance at the 10th Moscow Conference on International Security shows the country is siding with Russia.

"We have not seen any condemnation of Russia, despite the dire impact of the war on the supply of goods and services in South Africa, said Ralph Mathekga, a political analyst at Geopolitical Intelligence Services. "And, also, when you look at attending a defense-kind of a forum in a moment such as this, I mean I cannot imagine any stronger indication of support of Russia," he said.

Mathekga believes it's a blow to South African-U.S. relations, considering U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken visited South Africa just last week.

"It actually says that South Africa is nailing its colors to the mast.," he said. "I think it was a frustrating visit for the secretary of state because South Africa did not hold back on their indication that they are not going to pick sides on this, they are not going to be bullied by global powers in their continued cold war as it's being called."

Mathekga warns that while South Africa may be willing to rely on its bigger partners in the BRICS alliance, namely China and India, to help it through these turbulent economic times, it should not ignore the reality that the European Union and America are two of its biggest trading partners.